Posts

What if subsidies shifted entirely to renewables? [35]

Summary of the Article: Redirecting all energy subsidies from fossil fuels to renewables would catalyse a step‑change in deployment, innovation, and air‑quality/health gains , while improving fiscal efficiency if paired with targeted social protection. Global evidence shows current support is still skewed: fossil fuel consumer support remained ~$620 billion in 2023 (after a >$1 trillion spike in 2022) versus roughly $70 billion for consumer‑facing clean energy measures, and broader “support” to fossil fuels across instruments exceeded $0.9–1.0 trillion in 2024 in fiscal costs alone. When “implicit” under‑pricing of externalities is included, total fossil subsidies were ~$7 trillion in 2022 (7.1% of global GDP) ; full price reform would cut CO₂ 43% below baseline by 2030 , raise public revenues 3.6% of global GDP , and avert ~1.6 million air‑pollution deaths annually—headroom that a renewables‑first subsidy regime could redeploy. [iea.org] , [oecd.org] [imf.org] , [imf.org] Fo...

What if net metering was universally allowed? [33]

Summary of the Article:   Universal permission for net metering (NEM) —i.e., allowing every eligible consumer everywhere to offset consumption with exports at a regulated credit—would turbocharge rooftop solar adoption , unlock significant distributed investment , and accelerate decarbonisation . But if designed as retail‑rate, 1:1 crediting without reforms, it can also shift unrecovered grid costs to non‑solar customers, stress distribution networks at mid‑day peaks, and undermine utility finances. The global evidence base points to a “ smart NEM ” path: time‑varying export credits (or net‑billing ), modest fixed network charges, aggregation/virtual NEM , and pairing with storage and time‑of‑day tariffs . India already has many of these ingredients—national rules allowing NEM up to 500 kW , MNRE guidance on group/virtual NEM , and a surging residential programme (PM Surya Ghar ). A universal NEM policy, if calibrated to India’s grid economics, can scale rooftop while strengthen...

What if utilities were privatized everywhere? [37]

Summary of the Article: Global, across‑the‑board privatization of utilities (power, water, gas, rail, telecom and urban services) would mobilize private capital and managerial discipline, but outcomes would vary sharply by sector and country depending on regulatory quality , market design , and social safeguards . Evidence shows privatization can improve operational efficiency and expand access—especially where credible regulators exist—yet may also raise affordability concerns, under‑deliver environmental outcomes, or under‑invest in universal service without explicit obligations. [academic.oup.com] , [ieg.worldb...kgroup.org] , [hks.harvard.edu] For India, which already mixes public ownership with PPPs and private licenses (e.g., Delhi distribution), full privatization would intersect with ongoing reforms (Electricity Act legacy, RDSS, smart metering), EU CBAM trade pressures (for network‑intensive, energy‑cost‑sensitive sectors), and state capacity constraints in regulation. The win...

What if fossil fuels were banned for power generation? [32]

Summary of the Article: A blanket ban on fossil fuels in power generation—implemented over a defined glide path—would fundamentally reshape power systems: (1) resource mix shifts to a portfolio of renewables, nuclear, hydro, and (where viable) geothermal and bioenergy, backed by long‑duration storage, grid expansion, and flexible demand ; (2) reliability planning moves from peak‑capacity adequacy to multi‑day/seasonal energy adequacy ; (3) costs rise in the near term due to accelerated investment in storage and networks but fall over time as learning curves and avoided fuel/volatility benefits accrue; (4) trade flows and industrial competitiveness change as carbon‑intensive electricity is displaced, consistent with IPCC pathways that show near‑zero power is prerequisite for economy‑wide decarbonization. In India, success requires: fast‑tracking pumped storage hydropower (PSH) and BESS already foreseen in the National Electricity Plan; scaling round‑the‑clock (RTC) renewable pro...